Decentralized Mindset
Rich Dad Radio Show welcomes guest and friend, Mark Moss, in the studio to
discuss market cycles. Mark Moss is an investor, marketer and strategist.
Moss was successful in real estate, owned a couple of businesses that
became Fortune 500 exits, and invested heavily and successfully in real
estate development. The economic crash of 2008 proved a hard hit for Moss;
“Mike Tyson says everyone has a plan until they get punched in the face,
and I got more than punched in the face. I got knocked out.”
Moss says while he recognized he knew how to make money, he didn’t
understand what he terms the ‘financial casino thing’ that was happening.
Moss dug his heels in to educated himself.
Money Doesn’t Disappear…It’s Like Energy.
Money transfers, he says, like energy. When Mark lost his wealth, someone
else received his wealth. This didn’t sit well with him, he relates. He
vowed never to let that happen again, but to in fact, be on the receiving
end of wealth transfers. He’s spent twelve years researching and learning
about wealth transfers, and began writing a financial newsletter and
creating videos. For the last six years, he’s embarked into the educator
side with Youtube and a podcast. Learn to do it, he says, then teach it.
There are three angles to look at it, he says, three different
revolutionary cycles converging. Look at them from these different angles;
a political structure, a technological angle, and from a financial angle.
It’s important to have these perspectives because one indicator isn’t
conclusive. You need several indicators to see which way they point.
“But we also want to expand past financial. Let's look at the other areas,
because solutions come to problems. Things are reactive, cycles are
reactive. So what happens in the political-social area pushes
technological. Then that drives financial. So I think a lot of people are
looking for financial answers. What comes next? Will the dollar remain the
reserve currency? Will it be the Yuan? Will it be an SDR? Will it be
whatever? But they're looking at it from only a financial angle, and
without understanding the technological side or the political side, they
can't really get to the answer they're looking for.”
Investing Cycles
Starting with the political-social side, we can see that the world is in
turmoil. There are two cycles to look at within; a regime change (or 84
populist uprising). 84 years ago, we had World War II and Hitler and
Mussolini and even FDR changed the United States with the New Deal into a
socialist type of nation. 84 years before that, Karl Marx wrote the
communist manifesto, which then led to the European Spring, the largest
European revolution.
Three 84 years cycles equals a 252 year cycle, which is a revolution cycle.
250 years ago, we had the American Revolution, the French Revolution, the
birth of democracy, capitalism, et cetera. 250 years before that? The
Protestant Reformation.
What is important over those 250 and 500 year cycles, is that they were
both representing rejecting globalism or centralization and moving toward
de-centralization.
“In the Protestant Reformation, the church, the Catholic church and the
government together, and there was only one way to God, through the central
control. But the people, interesting point, 70 years earlier had gotten the
printing press. They'd gotten the Bible. They learned that I don't need a
central control. I can go de-centralized. Now I can have an independent
path.”
250 years ago, it was the same thing in rejecting the monarchy, rejecting
the established government in Europe. They created a decentralized
government.
History is littered with stories of governments getting too oppressive,
Moss says, and being overthrown. We are, right now, at the 84 year and the
250 year converging. While it can’t be localized to a specific date or
year, we are within the decade that Moss believes this convergence will
occur.
Hard Times Bring Strong Men-Strong Men Bring Great Times
The Fourth Turning is a principal and key area of Moss’ research. There’s
four 20-year cycles within an 80 year cycle. This cycle is reactive: hard
times bring strong men, strong men bring great times, but great times bring
weak men, and weak men bring bad times, but bad times bring the strong men
again. It’s cyclical. We can see that today, he says. We have bad times
with weak men living off of the wealth that was created two generations
before them. Academia and politics people have no reality because they’ve
never produced. They are living off the wealth of the past.
We have natural laws like gravity. With enough money and technology, we
could suspend that natural law of gravity, but eventually we are always
going to have to come back to it. Another natural law is ‘sow before you
reap.’ You must produce before you consume, Moss says. It’s a natural law.
We can get away with consuming without production for a while, but
eventually, we have to go back to producing first.
Market Disruptors
Moss hosts Market Disruptors, a podcast, that in part, discusses and
studies the history of cycles. It’s a positive message, Moss says, and he
believes there is great hope on the other side. He iterates: Solutions come
to problems. The world is rejecting centralization, globalization, and
pushing for decentralization. We are at the peak of globalization right
now. Pre-pandemic, there were ten countries with a million people, each
marching populist uprisings.
Centralization is a problem. The money printer is a problem, as in,
unlimited money supply. Censorship is a problem.
“We used to be ruled by law, like the Constitution, but today, we’re ruled
by men who constantly change the rules.”
While the world is rejecting globalization and inching toward
decentralization, we have problems that need to be solved. We have a
technological revolution that’s happening. These technological revolutions
happen in 50 year cycles. The industrial revolution changed humanity; from
the cottage industry to the factories and cities. Steam engines from horse
power and manpower. Steel allowed us to go from two story structures to
skyscrapers. Electricity revolutionized the world. Then to oil and
automobiles. In 1971, we had the age of the microprocessor, which allowed
personal computers and the age of information, the internet and everything
we do today. Fifty years since the advent of the microprocessor, we find
ourselves in the fifty year cycle of another technological leap. And this
time, it’s giving us decentralization.
2021 is the 50th anniversary of fake money
Nixon took the dollar off of the gold standard in 1971. 50 years later, we
are here and cryptocurrency is the revolutionary leap we find ourselves at.
This is the decentralization.
“It's Bitcoin. And the reason why it's Bitcoin and not cryptocurrencies is
because when you understand the problems, the unlimited money supply, the
changing governance, the centralization, we need something that answers
that. So we need something that's decentralized, that nobody can control.
We need something that's censorship resistant, that nobody can censor. We
need something that has immutable law, not governance. So all those
cryptocurrencies have a governance. We need immutable law. And so, when you
understand the problems and that we need a solution to that, out of the
8,000 or so cryptocurrencies, there's only one that fits that bill.”— Mark
Moss
What Moss finds interesting, is that while we find ourselves at the 250
year revolutionary cycle that is rejecting centralization and embracing
decentralization, we also converge into the 50 year technological
cycle-Bitcoin, which is bringing us exactly what we need.
Uprisings…
“I think it's pretty evident where we're already here. I think, like I
said, there was 10 countries with a million people, each marching. Just in
the last two weeks in London, there was a million people marching. And of
course, the media doesn't tell you that. We can see all through South
America, Chile just put a new constitution in. They've been taken over by
communist. Argentina, all through Central, South America is all regime
change. So we can see it. It's happening. We're in it right now. We're in
the middle of it.”
Moss believes people get lost in words; socialism, fascism, communism,
capitalism. He sees two systems; one that is essentially planned and
controlled, and one that is free, open and competitive.
Technological Revolutions Create New Economies
Each technical cycle can create new economies, Moss says. Some
revolutionary things like Uber just extend the existing economy, but
technological revolutions will create new ones.
Looking at the financial side, we can see it being reset. People question
if the dollar will reamin, or will it be the digital Yuan, or will we go
back to gold? “I think they are all asking the wrong question,” says Moss.
“They haven’t looked at the other two revolutions that are there.”
First, people are looking for a centralized answer from the powers on high
to say,
“This is the new system,” but the future is DECENTRALIZED.
A decentralized future where Bitcoin is Moss’ reserve asset. Many S&P
500 companies are now using Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
Countries, such as El Salvador, are using Bitcoin as a reserve asset.
“So, it's a decentralized movement where I choose what's best for me. You
choose what's best for you. Good luck. Place your bets accordingly. And
we're already starting to see that. So I don't think... Well, everyone's
looking for that answer, that central answer. That's not what the history
tells us the future holds for us.”
The other side that Moss feels should be looked at closely is the
political, social, cultural side. The side that tells us that we are
rejecting globalization to go to decentralization. Added to the
technological piece that creates new economies, which is the decentralized
technology.
What Will Be the Body Count?
“The body count… I believe all this change happens over the next decade and
it's not going to be smooth. It's not. And so the way I look at it is the
work I'm doing, the work you're doing, it's like everybody's on the Titanic
and it hit the iceberg and it's going down. And the more people we can
offload on the lifeboats, the less of an impact that ship going down will
be. And so that's kind of what I'm trying to do. Let's get people onto as
many lifeboats as we can."
"So I like to say on my channel I'm not here to wake up the sleeping sheep,
I want to wake up the sleeping lions. That's who we really want to wake up.
And I would say that while I do get discouraged by seeing the lack of
attention by so many people today who are just reading headlines and don't
really understand what's going on. I'm also really encouraged by the amount
of people that are waking up. And I believe that the internet has created
transparency where the government and the organizations aren't really able
to hide this stuff anymore. I mean, you've been educated for a long time,
Robert, and I mean, nobody used the word fiat before and now everybody uses
that word and knows what that word is. And so I think that there's maybe
half the people have fallen deeper asleep, but there's a whole half of
people that are waking up to this and they don't want to stand for this
anymore.”
Moss reminds us that solutions come to problems, and so we can see that the
government has gotten more aggressive, more centralized, more
authoritarian. This causes people to want to rebel against that and go back
to freedom. People are actively looking for that solution.
This next decade, Moss says, is probably going to be rough. The transition
won’t be smooth. Moss believes there is great hope on the other side, but
he wonders how we will survive getting there.
Take responsibility, he says. Know that the government isn’t going to save
you and that social security isn’t going to be there for you. It’s up to
you. Increasing your education is the first part.
Mark Moss on Cryptocurrency
“I’m specifically recommending Bitcoin,”
Mark Moss says. The money printer is at the base of every problem that we have in society today.
The lockdowns, Moss believes, would never have been able to happen if they
hadn’t been able to send people stimulus money. The vaccine program
wouldn’t have happened if they didn’t have all this money. But where did
they get the money from, he asks? The money printer creates wealth
inequality.
We need a rule of law, Moss says, immutable law, and we need to be
self-sovereign where I can store my wealth in a way that can’t be seized or
stolen or inflated away.
“Inflation is theft.”—Mark Moss
True freedom, true censorship resistance, is to have the freedom to store
our own wealth how we wish. There’s only one solution to this problem, Moss
says.
“It’s Bitcoin.”
If you need to make money, Moss advises that you learn a high value skill.
Typically around sales and marketing, and something you can do from
anywhere over the internet because you may need to move jurisdictions.
People need to focus on creating more wealth. Learn high value skills,
skills that can be done from anywhere, as you may need to increase your
freedom as this transition happens, he says.
You Want Stuff They Cannot Trace
Is Bitcoin always untraceable, because now governments are taxing it, and
taxing you to use it? Bitcoin, Moss says, is an open network that’s
anonymous, but not private. It’s anonymous where you can see all the
addresses, though you don’t know who they belong to, but it’s not private
in the way that you cannot see it.
Where they get you, he says, are the fiat on and off ramps. When you buy
Bitcoin with fiat money, they have to get my KYC, (key), and know your
customer. They get all the information. If you want to sell it back for
fiat, again, they know the customer. Using software, they can tie all that
back together.
But if you stay within Bitcoin, he says, and never go in and out of it,
it’s completely anonymous. Like El Salvador, for example; giving people a
way to earn money in Bitcoin. People are earning money in Bitcoin
anonymously, spending it anonymously and nobody will ever know who that is
because there was never any KYC attached to that.
Moss agrees that Bitcoin is not the only answer for the future or his
future wealth.
“I own a lot of assets, gold as well, and real estate, but I’m afraid of
having all of my real estate in the United States,”
Moss shares. With real
estate in the U.S., he is concerned with taxes, rent moratoriums, eviction
moratoriums, et cetera. Moss quotes Simon Black,
“You wouldn’t have all of
your money in one stock. Why would you have your whole life in one
country?”
He reiterates his point to learn skills that can be done anywhere
in the world.
Mark Moss hosts the podcast, Market Disruptors and can also be found at https://1markmoss.com/